3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,461 sqft ·
Built 2006
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 119 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$7,999/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,984
Tax + insurance
−$375
HOA
−$224
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,680
Net cashflow
$2,736/mo
Annual
$32,831/yr
Cap rate
12.06%
Cash-on-cash
20.61%
DSCR
1.92
1% rule
1.41%
Cash to close
$159,320
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $569k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($33k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $569k).
It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($518k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $518k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $17k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Georgetown 01 (town): math 26% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #51 of 80 in SC (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 392 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 323 units permitted in Georgetown County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $159k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-C63JTG65DN02QM
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29