3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,232 sqft ·
Built 1999
· Manufactured
· Active
· 2 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,115/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$681
Tax + insurance
−$192
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$234
Net cashflow
$7/mo
Annual
$88/yr
Cap rate
6.97%
Cash-on-cash
2.44%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$36,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $7 ($88/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $112k (14.1% below list).
Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $112k (14.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#638 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Dawson-Bryant Local (suburban): math 44% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #485 of 656 in OH (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Dawson-Bryant Elementary School (math 58% / reading 56%, grade C+, #729 of 1,584 statewide, top 48%, 576 students, 0% FRL); Dawson-Bryant Middle School (math 37% / reading 45%, grade F, #505 of 654 statewide, top 78%, 262 students, 0% FRL); Dawson-Bryant High School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #528 of 781 statewide, top 71%, 311 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 54% district-wide (54 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lawrence County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-C6JV291ECK52TF
· Data 17 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29