2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,205 sqft ·
Built 1978
· Condo
· Active
· 195 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,716/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$422
Tax + insurance
−$239
HOA
−$1,852
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$780
Net cashflow
$424/mo
Annual
$5,085/yr
Cap rate
13.61%
Cash-on-cash
26.13%
DSCR
2.16
1% rule
4.62%
Cash to close
$22,512
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $80k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $424 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $80k).
It's been on market 195 days — a 12% lower offer ($71k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $71k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-1.0%/yr); year-one equity from $556 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $807 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 50% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 160 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,638 units permitted in Honolulu County in 2024 (793 in 5+ unit buildings).
Honolulu County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (33%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-1.0% appreciation + 3.5% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 13.6% vs local median 1.5% in Urban Honolulu — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,716/mo this rent would consume 65% of the median local household income ($68k/yr) (locally 2466% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 195 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-C6XK9WAFN34K5C
· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29