3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,352 sqft ·
Built 1983
· Manufactured
· Active
· 81 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,498/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,180
Tax + insurance
−$347
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$525
Net cashflow
$447/mo
Annual
$5,360/yr
Cap rate
9.34%
Cash-on-cash
10.89%
DSCR
1.48
1% rule
1.11%
Cash to close
$63,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $225k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $447 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $225k).
It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($212k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $212k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $506 of equity ($2k loan paydown + $-1k appreciation (-0.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Osceola (suburban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #60 of 73 in FL (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 383 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 8,813 units permitted in Osceola County in 2024 (3,072 in 5+ unit buildings).
Osceola County population projected at +73% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-0.5% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $63k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-C73P22CJSPTGW5
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29