2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,879 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 257 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,035/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$351
Tax + insurance
−$180
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$217
Net cashflow
$286/mo
Annual
$3,433/yr
Cap rate
11.42%
Cash-on-cash
18.30%
DSCR
1.81
1% rule
1.55%
Cash to close
$18,760
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $67k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $286 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $67k).
It's been on market 257 days — a 12% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $59k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-1.4%/yr); year-one equity from $463 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $959 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,123 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, employment D.
Rotan ISD (rural): math 50% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #405 of 1,141 in TX (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP.
Fisher County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 5→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 257 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-C7905A7K2T9WWF
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29