2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,496 sqft ·
Built 1983
· Condo
· Active
· 578 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,829/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$944
Tax + insurance
−$263
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$384
Net cashflow
$237/mo
Annual
$2,850/yr
Cap rate
7.88%
Cash-on-cash
5.65%
DSCR
1.25
1% rule
1.02%
Cash to close
$50,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $180k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $237 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
It's been on market 578 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $158k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#42 in NC, #3,740 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Davie County Schools (rural): math 51% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #57 of 178 in NC (top 32%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 142 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 250 units permitted in Davie County in 2024 (65 in 5+ unit buildings).
Davie County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 2.7% in Bermuda Run — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 578 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-C7K2584SY03W63
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29