2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,064 sqft ·
Built 2010
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 87 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$980/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$361
Tax + insurance
−$81
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$206
Net cashflow
$332/mo
Annual
$3,980/yr
Cap rate
12.07%
Cash-on-cash
20.63%
DSCR
1.92
1% rule
1.42%
Cash to close
$19,292
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $332 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($980 rent vs $69k).
It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($65k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $65k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-2.2%/yr); year-one equity from $476 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#360 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Mclean County (rural): math 34% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #34 of 165 in KY (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Livermore Elementary School (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #301 of 676 statewide, top 48%, 227 students, 64% FRL); Mclean County Middle School (math 30% / reading 41%, grade F, #94 of 217 statewide, top 44%, 319 students, 53% FRL); Mclean County High School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #58 of 254 statewide, top 27%, 413 students, 48% FRL).
Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in McLean County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
McLean County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $22k; list at $69k implies a 213% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-2.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-C8GQJ96WQZE3BP
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29