3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,902 sqft ·
Built 1951
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 12 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,599/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$886
Tax + insurance
−$117
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$336
Net cashflow
$260/mo
Annual
$3,121/yr
Cap rate
8.14%
Cash-on-cash
6.59%
DSCR
1.29
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$47,320
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $169k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $260 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $160k (5.4% below list).
Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $160k (5.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#110 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Washington Community Schools (town): math 36% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #174 of 301 in IN (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Washington Upper Elementary (math 44% / reading 43%, grade D, #90 of 330 statewide, top 27%, 361 students, 62% FRL); Washington High School (math 27% / reading 57%, grade F, #197 of 369 statewide, top 57%, 780 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools at 60% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 71 units permitted in Daviess County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Daviess County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
6 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $104k; list at $169k implies a 62% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 4.9% in Washington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-C8WJ6DFSHMKTZE
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29