3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,340 sqft ·
Built 2024
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 97 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,230/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,306
Tax + insurance
−$415
HOA
−$25
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$468
Net cashflow
$16/mo
Annual
$190/yr
Cap rate
6.37%
Cash-on-cash
0.27%
DSCR
1.01
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$69,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $249k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $16 ($190/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $223k (10.4% below list).
It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($227k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $223k (10.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#74 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: schools D, employment D, amenities F.
Long County (rural): math 26% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #115 of 174 in GA (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 409 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 298 units permitted in Long County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Long County population projected at +72% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-C91QMVDQ2D6YBH
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29