1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,129 sqft ·
Built 2012
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 104 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,176/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$655
Tax + insurance
−$275
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$247
Net cashflow
$-1/mo
Annual
$-12/yr
Cap rate
6.92%
Cash-on-cash
2.25%
DSCR
1.10
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$34,972
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1 ($-12/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $125k (0.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $118k (5.9% below list).
It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $114k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#125 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Greene County (rural): math 27% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #83 of 139 in TN (top 60%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Baileyton Elementary (math 37% / reading 27%, grade F, #369 of 952 statewide, top 42%, 434 students, 0% FRL); North Greene Middle School (math 21% / reading 17%, grade F, #204 of 333 statewide, top 62%, 201 students, 0% FRL); North Greene High School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #163 of 332 statewide, top 51%, 314 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 58% district-wide (58 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 223 active listings in the ZIP; 333 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
Greene County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 2.6% in Greeneville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Exposed cabinets
— Structural damage
Major: Exposed plumbing
— Structural damage
Major: Exposed insulation
— Structural damage
Major: Exposed walls
— Structural damage
Major: Exposed beams
— Structural damage
Major: Exposed ducts
— Structural damage
CashFlowRE · CFR-C94E0R8ZBF5R9C
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29