9 bd · 3.0 ba ·
3,897 sqft ·
Built 1905
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,848/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,303
Tax + insurance
−$644
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,228
Net cashflow
$673/mo
Annual
$8,073/yr
Cap rate
7.57%
Cash-on-cash
4.58%
DSCR
1.20
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$176,372
Investor read
This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $630k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $673 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $224/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $585k (7.2% below list).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $585k (7.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $46k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $42k appreciation (6.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#155 in MA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: cost of living C-, schools D, employment D.
New Bedford (suburban): math 17% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #287 of 302 in MA (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 760 units permitted in Bristol County in 2024 (142 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bristol County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts since 32y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $22k; list at $630k implies a 2763% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (6.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $176k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$74k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.7% in New Bedford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
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· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29