3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,844 sqft ·
Built 1956
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,363/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$970
Tax + insurance
−$262
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$286
Net cashflow
$-155/mo
Annual
$-1,861/yr
Cap rate
5.29%
Cash-on-cash
-3.59%
DSCR
0.84
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$51,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-155 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $158k (14.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $136k (26.3% below list).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $136k (26.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#833 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Galion City (town): math 36% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #499 of 656 in OH (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Primary Elementary School (458 students, 65% FRL); Galion Middle School (math 36% / reading 49%, grade D-, #493 of 654 statewide, top 76%, 385 students, 54% FRL); Galion High School (math 27% / reading 72%, grade D, #390 of 781 statewide, top 54%, 440 students, 55% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Crawford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Crawford County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $128k; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-C9EV00B8K8RAT9
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29