3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,140 sqft ·
Built 2024
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 323 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,188/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$781
Tax + insurance
−$248
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$249
Net cashflow
$-91/mo
Annual
$-1,096/yr
Cap rate
5.56%
Cash-on-cash
-2.63%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$41,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $149k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-91 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $136k (8.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $119k (20.3% below list).
It's been on market 323 days — a 12% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $119k (20.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#67 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Washington Parish (rural): math 27% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #38 of 98 in LA (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Franklinton Primary School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #359 of 646 statewide, top 57%, 664 students, 56% FRL); Franklinton Junior High School (math 27% / reading 46%, grade F, #82 of 218 statewide, top 38%, 362 students, 59% FRL); Franklinton High School (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #106 of 265 statewide, top 43%, 732 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools average 57% FRL vs 77% district-wide (20 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 311 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Washington Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washington County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 4.4% in Franklinton — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 323 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-C9F45H2NGGQYBS
· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29