2 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,604 sqft ·
Built 1992
· Townhouse
· Active
· 26 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,800/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,599
Tax + insurance
−$690
HOA
−$354
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$798
Net cashflow
$359/mo
Annual
$4,308/yr
Cap rate
7.71%
Cash-on-cash
5.05%
DSCR
1.22
1% rule
1.25%
Cash to close
$85,372
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $305k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $359 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $305k).
It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($300k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $300k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#29 in IL, #529 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+.
Cons Hsd 230 (suburban): math 35% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #146 of 620 in IL (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 119 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
6 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $260k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.3% in Orland Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-C9JG49AMCFP4C7
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29