6 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,536 sqft ·
Built 1945
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,644/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$996
Tax + insurance
−$672
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$555
Net cashflow
$421/mo
Annual
$5,050/yr
Cap rate
8.95%
Cash-on-cash
9.50%
DSCR
1.42
1% rule
1.39%
Cash to close
$53,172
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $190k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $421 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $210/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $190k).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (8.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#54 in NY, #811 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-.
Cheektowaga-Sloan Union Free School District (urban): math 33% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #555 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price; built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 169 active listings in the ZIP; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $140k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (8.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 3.8% in Cheektowaga — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,644/mo this rent would consume 63% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 841% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-C9ZKDP8H58F3SE
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29