3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,664 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 367 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,055/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$970
Tax + insurance
−$235
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$222
Net cashflow
$-372/mo
Annual
$-4,465/yr
Cap rate
3.88%
Cash-on-cash
-8.62%
DSCR
0.62
1% rule
0.57%
Cash to close
$51,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-372 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $119k (35.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $105k (43.0% below list).
It's been on market 367 days — a 12% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $105k (43.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (4.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#662 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Mason ISD (rural): math 57% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #76 of 826 in TX (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Mason County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Mason County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 367 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 43% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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