3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,248 sqft ·
Built 1998
· Manufactured
· Active
· 36 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,198/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$70
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$462
Net cashflow
$1,143/mo
Annual
$13,711/yr
Cap rate
20.02%
Cash-on-cash
49.02%
DSCR
3.18
1% rule
2.20%
Cash to close
$27,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 87/100 on livability (#13 in OR, #282 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime D+, cost of living F.
Hillsboro SD 1J (urban): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #13 of 58 in OR (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Minter Bridge Elementary School (math 10% / reading 27%, grade F, #383 of 412 statewide, top 93%, 351 students, 69% FRL); South Meadows Middle School (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #61 of 128 statewide, top 54%, 709 students, 68% FRL); Hillsboro High School (math 50% / reading 70%, grade C+, #23 of 143 statewide, top 19%, 1,359 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 40% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 425 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 2,224 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (242 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washington County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 20.0% vs local median 2.9% in Hillsboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CASBSJCRMA76VY
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29