2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
994 sqft ·
Built 1973
· Condo
· Active
· 120 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,492/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$944
Tax + insurance
−$137
HOA
−$280
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$313
Net cashflow
$-183/mo
Annual
$-2,194/yr
Cap rate
5.07%
Cash-on-cash
-4.35%
DSCR
0.81
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$50,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $180k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-183 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $148k (17.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $149k (17.1% below list).
It's been on market 120 days — a 9% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $148k (17.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#124 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Lake Havasu Unified District (4368) (urban): math 39% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #66 of 249 in AZ (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 387 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,543 units permitted in Mohave County in 2024 (33 in 5+ unit buildings).
Mohave County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
6 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $50k; list at $180k implies a 261% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 3.0% in Lake Havasu City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 120 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29