2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,056 sqft ·
Built 1993
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 49 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$947/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$341
Tax + insurance
−$108
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$199
Net cashflow
$299/mo
Annual
$3,589/yr
Cap rate
11.81%
Cash-on-cash
19.72%
DSCR
1.88
1% rule
1.46%
Cash to close
$18,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $299 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($947 rent vs $65k).
It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $541 of equity ($449 loan paydown + $92 appreciation (0.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#542 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Hominy (town): math 6% / reading 10% proficiency, ranked #259 of 270 in OK (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 89 units permitted in Osage County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Osage County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (0.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Overgrown vegetation
— Hinders property value and safety
Major: Dilapidated shed
— Reduces property value and safety
Minor: Worn carpet
— Can be replaced with new carpet
CashFlowRE · CFR-CAX9C4B1NHB91Q
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29