2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
985 sqft ·
Built 1967
· Condo
· Active
· 225 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,641/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$823
Tax + insurance
−$262
HOA
−$468
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$345
Net cashflow
$-257/mo
Annual
$-3,079/yr
Cap rate
4.33%
Cash-on-cash
-7.00%
DSCR
0.69
1% rule
1.05%
Cash to close
$43,960
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $157k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-257 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $120k (23.6% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $157k).
It's been on market 225 days — a 12% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $120k (23.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#6 in MS, #2,141 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute D+, amenities F, employment D-.
Biloxi Public School District (urban): math 60% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #7 of 130 in MS (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Back Bay Elementary School (math 51% / reading 50%, grade D+, #59 of 375 statewide, top 16%, 535 students, 99% FRL); Biloxi Junior High (math 60% / reading 43%, grade C, #27 of 179 statewide, top 16%, 881 students, 100% FRL); Biloxi High School (math 65% / reading 53%, grade C+, #7 of 197 statewide, top 3%, 1,728 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 59% district-wide (40 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: HOA is 29% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 302 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 225 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-CBMN0S2ZQY6TVV
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29