5 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,834 sqft ·
Built 1971
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 29 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,105/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,127
Tax + insurance
−$323
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$442
Net cashflow
$212/mo
Annual
$2,549/yr
Cap rate
7.48%
Cash-on-cash
4.23%
DSCR
1.19
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$60,200
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $212 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $211k (2.1% below list).
It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($212k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $211k (2.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#498 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
Volusia (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #47 of 73 in FL (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Edith I. Starke Elementary School (math 42% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,609 of 2,144 statewide, top 77%, 297 students, 83% FRL); Southwestern Middle School (math 38% / reading 44%, grade F, #353 of 571 statewide, top 63%, 697 students, 63% FRL); Deland High School (math 26% / reading 45%, grade F, #367 of 667 statewide, top 57%, 2,926 students, 50% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 444 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3,402 units permitted in Volusia County in 2024 (681 in 5+ unit buildings).
Volusia County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $112k; list at $215k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CBQT2AANHKZNF4
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29