4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,045 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 487 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,809/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,158
Tax + insurance
−$686
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$590
Net cashflow
$-625/mo
Annual
$-7,500/yr
Cap rate
4.47%
Cash-on-cash
-6.51%
DSCR
0.71
1% rule
0.68%
Cash to close
$115,219
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $355k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-625 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $321k (9.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $281k (20.9% below list).
It's been on market 487 days — a 12% lower offer ($312k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $281k (20.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#66 in TX, #2,404 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Calallen ISD (urban): math 42% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #249 of 826 in TX (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Calallen Wood River El (math 57% / reading 57%, grade C+, #505 of 4,322 statewide, top 13%, 479 students, 54% FRL); Calallen Middle (math 40% / reading 40%, grade F, #646 of 1,662 statewide, top 40%, 968 students, 53% FRL); Calallen H S (math 47% / reading 59%, grade C-, #437 of 1,632 statewide, top 27%, 1,180 students, 51% FRL).
Market conditions: 282 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,397 units permitted in Nueces County in 2024 (47 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nueces County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $2,809/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($59k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 487 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CBV3M754K9Y8TJ
· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29