203 Arnall

Poteau, OK 74953

$102,500B

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,512 sqft · Built 1982 · Manufactured · Active · 204 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,370/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$538
• Tax + insurance: −$171
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$288
• Net cashflow: $374/mo
• Annual: $4,492/yr
• Cap rate: 10.68%
• Cash-on-cash: 15.65%
• DSCR: 1.70
• 1% rule: 1.34%
• Cash to close: $28,700

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $102k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $374 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $102k).
• It's been on market 204 days — a 12% lower offer ($90k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $90k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $5k of equity ($709 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.2% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 57/100 on livability (#485 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Poteau (town): math 30% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #68 of 270 in OK (top 25%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Poteau Upper Es (math 45% / reading 36%, grade F, #98 of 845 statewide, top 12%, 471 students, 0% FRL); Poteau Hs (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #125 of 447 statewide, top 31%, 636 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 54% district-wide (54 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Market conditions: 140 active listings in the ZIP; 73 units permitted in Le Flore County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Le Flore County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $84k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
• At projected returns (4.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 3.8% in Poteau — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 204 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.