4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,404 sqft ·
Built 1974
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 75 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,973/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,280
Tax + insurance
−$332
HOA
−$202
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$414
Net cashflow
$-255/mo
Annual
$-3,061/yr
Cap rate
5.04%
Cash-on-cash
-4.48%
DSCR
0.80
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$68,320
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $244k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-255 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $199k (18.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $197k (19.1% below list).
It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($229k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $197k (19.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $22k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $21k appreciation (8.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
North Pocono SD (rural): math 45% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #82 of 539 in PA (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Moscow El Sch (math 62% / reading 82%, grade A-, #123 of 1,518 statewide, top 9%, 591 students, 43% FRL); North Pocono Ms (math 25% / reading 69%, grade D+, #163 of 512 statewide, top 33%, 665 students, 36% FRL); North Pocono Hs (math 72%, 905 students, 33% FRL).
Market conditions: 301 active listings in the ZIP; 177 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $55k; list at $244k implies a 344% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CD22P3FX1ZG4HX
· Data 9 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29