2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
816 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 3 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$859/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$532
Tax + insurance
−$123
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$180
Net cashflow
$24/mo
Annual
$283/yr
Cap rate
6.57%
Cash-on-cash
1.00%
DSCR
1.04
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$28,420
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $102k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $24 ($283/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $86k (15.4% below list).
Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $86k (15.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($702 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (5.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#9 in KS, #1,205 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, commute F.
Hoisington (town): math 34% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #77 of 169 in KS (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Barton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Barton County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $6k; list at $102k implies a 1592% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (5.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CD28G8DF8GZKRS
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29