3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,064 sqft ·
Built 1999
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 42 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,619/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$208
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$340
Net cashflow
$415/mo
Annual
$4,981/yr
Cap rate
10.28%
Cash-on-cash
14.23%
DSCR
1.63
1% rule
1.30%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $415 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 36/100 on livability (#589 in VA) — a limited-amenity area; tenant pool skews transient or value-seeking. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
Mecklenburg County Public School District (rural): math 57% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #49 of 131 in VA (top 37%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 153 units permitted in Mecklenburg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Mecklenburg County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: kitchen cabinets
— dated and in poor condition
Major: bathroom fixtures
— dated and in poor condition
Major: exterior paint
— faded and in poor condition
Major: flooring
— dated and in poor condition
Major: interior paint
— dated and peeling in some areas
CashFlowRE · CFR-CDF49BCAS2CRYZ
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29