3 bd · 3.5 ba ·
2,464 sqft ·
Built 1989
· Condo
· Pending
· 21 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,461/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,888
Tax + insurance
−$600
HOA
−$546
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$727
Net cashflow
$-300/mo
Annual
$-3,596/yr
Cap rate
5.29%
Cash-on-cash
-3.57%
DSCR
0.84
1% rule
0.96%
Cash to close
$100,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.5-bath condo listed at $360k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-300 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $317k (12.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $346k (3.9% below list).
It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($355k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $317k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#113 in MI, #2,684 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
Troy School District (urban): math 68% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #8 of 540 in MI (top 2%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Troy Union Elementary School (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #382 of 1,397 statewide, top 30%, 405 students, 25% FRL); Larson Middle School (math 68% / reading 77%, grade A, #18 of 493 statewide, top 4%, 762 students, 15% FRL); Athens High School (math 60% / reading 79%, grade B, #36 of 713 statewide, top 5%, 1,545 students, 20% FRL).
Market conditions: 123 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.6% in Troy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CDHZJK2R8VW6WN
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29