1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
722 sqft ·
Built 2006
· Condo
· Active
· 43 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,176/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,666
Tax + insurance
−$923
HOA
−$526
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,087
Net cashflow
$-1,025/mo
Annual
$-12,303/yr
Cap rate
4.53%
Cash-on-cash
-6.29%
DSCR
0.72
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$195,720
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $699k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-12k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $518k (25.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $518k (26.0% below list).
It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($678k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $518k (26.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $44k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $39k appreciation (5.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 258 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $437k; list at $699k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$71k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $5,176/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($121k/yr) (locally 3440% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29