4 bd · 3.5 ba ·
3,152 sqft ·
Built 1875
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 41 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,403/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,622
Tax + insurance
−$576
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$925
Net cashflow
$280/mo
Annual
$3,362/yr
Cap rate
6.97%
Cash-on-cash
2.40%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$140,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.5-bath multifamily listed at $500k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $280 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $440k (11.9% below list).
It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($485k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $440k (11.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Solanco SD (rural): math 31% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #272 of 539 in PA (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Clermont El Sch (math 35% / reading 53%, grade F, #858 of 1,518 statewide, top 57%, 409 students, 44% FRL); Swift Ms (math 20% / reading 60%, grade F, #257 of 512 statewide, top 52%, 338 students, 40% FRL); Solanco Hs (math 57% / reading 24%, grade F, #255 of 437 statewide, top 60%, 1,081 students, 35% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1875 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 1,093 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lancaster County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1875 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CEVKXS20PFJ71E
· Data 9 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29