3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
880 sqft ·
Built 2021
· Manufactured
· Active
· 60 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,140/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$645
Tax + insurance
−$156
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$449
Net cashflow
$889/mo
Annual
$10,673/yr
Cap rate
14.97%
Cash-on-cash
30.99%
DSCR
2.38
1% rule
1.74%
Cash to close
$34,440
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $123k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $889 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $123k).
It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $119k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $850 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 91/100 on livability (#11 in PA, #48 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, employment A+.
Phoenixville Area SD (suburban): math 44% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #88 of 539 in PA (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Schuylkill El Sch (math 53% / reading 66%, grade B-, #377 of 1,518 statewide, top 28%, 453 students, 28% FRL); Phoenixville Area Ms (math 22% / reading 68%, grade D, #187 of 512 statewide, top 38%, 937 students, 32% FRL); Phoenixville Area Hs (math 78% / reading 75%, grade A-, #24 of 437 statewide, top 5%, 1,272 students, 27% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 171 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,513 units permitted in Chester County in 2024 (354 in 5+ unit buildings).
Chester County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $97k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 15.0% vs local median 2.6% in Phoenixville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CFGNSZ4SKTNW5M
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29