3 bd · 3.5 ba ·
3,352 sqft ·
Built 1994
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 247 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,452/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$839
Tax + insurance
−$266
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$305
Net cashflow
$42/mo
Annual
$506/yr
Cap rate
6.61%
Cash-on-cash
1.13%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$44,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $160k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $42 ($506/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (9.2% below list).
It's been on market 247 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $12k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $11k appreciation (7.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#82 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Houston County (rural): math 25% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #38 of 129 in AL (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Cottonwood Elementary School (481 students, 73% FRL); Cottonwood High School (math 14% / reading 39%, grade F, #107 of 305 statewide, top 36%, 398 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 52% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 463 units permitted in Houston County in 2024 (96 in 5+ unit buildings).
Houston County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $70k (30%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (7.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 247 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29