12 Maizefield Dr #12

Shippensburg, PA 17257

$113,900B-

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,680 sqft · Built 2005 · Manufactured · Pending · 15 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,478/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$597
• Tax + insurance: −$187
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$310
• Net cashflow: $383/mo
• Annual: $4,597/yr
• Cap rate: 10.33%
• Cash-on-cash: 14.42%
• DSCR: 1.64
• 1% rule: 1.30%
• Cash to close: $31,892

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $114k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $383 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $114k).
• It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $112k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $787 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 70/100 on livability (#741 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Shippensburg Area SD (town): math 31% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #335 of 539 in PA (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Nancy Grayson El Sch (math 37% / reading 57%, grade D-, #737 of 1,518 statewide, top 52%, 486 students, 52% FRL); Shippensburg Area Ms (math 17% / reading 49%, grade F, #346 of 512 statewide, top 69%, 786 students, 55% FRL); Shippensburg Area Shs (math 71% / reading 30%, grade D+, #131 of 437 statewide, top 30%, 1,138 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools average 51% FRL vs 30% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 162 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 633 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
• 3 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $46k; list at $114k implies a 148% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 2.8% in Shippensburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.