1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
566 sqft ·
Built 1988
· Condo
· Active
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,331/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$676
Tax + insurance
−$196
HOA
−$191
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$280
Net cashflow
$-12/mo
Annual
$-143/yr
Cap rate
6.18%
Cash-on-cash
-0.40%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
1.03%
Cash to close
$36,120
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $129k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-12 ($-143/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $127k (1.6% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $129k).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $127k (1.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $892 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#12 in FL, #360 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Metrowest Elementary (math 42% / reading 39%, grade F, #1,471 of 2,144 statewide, top 69%, 610 students, 50% FRL); Chain of Lakes Middle (math 39% / reading 37%, grade F, #388 of 571 statewide, top 69%, 1,209 students, 46% FRL); Olympia High (math 24% / reading 52%, grade F, #328 of 667 statewide, top 50%, 2,969 students, 47% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.2%/yr); 383 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).
Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
9 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.0% in Orlando — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CH37DA988R6ZMM
· Data 9 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29