2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
700 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 32 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$856/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$485
Tax + insurance
−$92
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$180
Net cashflow
$99/mo
Annual
$1,190/yr
Cap rate
7.58%
Cash-on-cash
4.59%
DSCR
1.20
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$25,900
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $92k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $99 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $86k (7.5% below list).
It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($90k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $86k (7.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $640 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#216 in OH, #3,330 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, commute F, employment D-.
Fostoria City (town): math 30% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #566 of 656 in OH (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 45 units permitted in Seneca County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Seneca County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $21k; list at $92k implies a 340% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.4% in Fostoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CH5ABG515KFMBA
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29