3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,336 sqft ·
Built 1978
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 19 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,094/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$251
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$230
Net cashflow
$-16/mo
Annual
$-188/yr
Cap rate
6.14%
Cash-on-cash
-0.56%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$33,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $120k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-16 ($-188/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $117k (2.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $109k (8.7% below list).
It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $109k (8.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $12k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (9.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#826 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, schools A-; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
Calamus-Wheatland Community School District (rural): math 71% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #150 of 289 in IA (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 116 units permitted in Clinton County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clinton County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
7 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $90k (43%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (9.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CH6SHJER89M6E7
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29