2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
979 sqft ·
Built 2005
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 29 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,500/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,048
Tax + insurance
−$333
HOA
−$40
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$525
Net cashflow
$554/mo
Annual
$6,642/yr
Cap rate
9.62%
Cash-on-cash
11.87%
DSCR
1.53
1% rule
1.25%
Cash to close
$55,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $554 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $197k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 51/100 on livability (#701 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Haywood County Schools (suburban): math 55% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #50 of 178 in NC (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Jonathan Valley Elementary (math 52% / reading 47%, grade D, #417 of 1,410 statewide, top 32%, 378 students, 99% FRL); Tuscola High (math 57% / reading 60%, grade C, #235 of 535 statewide, top 45%, 917 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 49% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 243 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 537 units permitted in Haywood County in 2024 (150 in 5+ unit buildings).
5 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $148k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 2.3% in Maggie Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: kitchen cabinets
— dated and worn
Moderate: bathroom fixtures
— dated and worn
Moderate: landscaping
— needs trimming and updating
CashFlowRE · CFR-CHGMW12V905B40
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29