2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,044 sqft ·
Built 1973
· Condo
· Active
· 198 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,623/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$732
Tax + insurance
−$234
HOA
−$530
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$341
Net cashflow
$-214/mo
Annual
$-2,564/yr
Cap rate
4.45%
Cash-on-cash
-6.57%
DSCR
0.71
1% rule
1.16%
Cash to close
$39,060
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-214 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $102k (27.1% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
It's been on market 198 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $102k (27.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $964 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#109 in MN, #2,510 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F.
Roseville Public School District (suburban): math 37% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #170 of 301 in MN (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Parkview Center School (math 52% / reading 69%, grade B-, #203 of 857 statewide, top 24%, 717 students, 33% FRL); Roseville Area Middle (math 24% / reading 48%, grade F, #170 of 258 statewide, top 66%, 828 students, 58% FRL); Roseville Area Senior High (math 42% / reading 69%, grade C, #80 of 471 statewide, top 17%, 2,327 students, 48% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 33% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 175 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,202 units permitted in Ramsey County in 2024 (880 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ramsey County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 30y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $64k; list at $140k implies a 118% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 3.6% in Little Canada — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 198 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-CHPKMK8BYZ7TAZ
· Data 23 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29