3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,286 sqft ·
Built 1996
· Other
· Active
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,202/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$682
Tax + insurance
−$78
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$252
Net cashflow
$190/mo
Annual
$2,275/yr
Cap rate
8.04%
Cash-on-cash
6.25%
DSCR
1.28
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$36,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $130k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $190 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $120k (7.6% below list).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $120k (7.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#359 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-, housing A-; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Mccracken County (town): math 41% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #16 of 165 in KY (top 10%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Reidland Elementary School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #434 of 676 statewide, top 69%, 587 students, 70% FRL); Reidland Middle School (math 36% / reading 47%, grade F, #51 of 217 statewide, top 24%, 330 students, 64% FRL); Mccracken County High School (math 30% / reading 44%, grade F, #58 of 254 statewide, top 27%, 1,999 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools average 59% FRL vs 41% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 268 active listings in the ZIP; 187 units permitted in McCracken County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
McCracken County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CHTD3AC1ZVKVXH
· Data 18 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29