3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,198 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 238 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,502/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$918
Tax + insurance
−$292
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$315
Net cashflow
$-23/mo
Annual
$-278/yr
Cap rate
6.13%
Cash-on-cash
-0.57%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$49,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-23 ($-278/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $172k (1.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (14.2% below list).
It's been on market 238 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $150k (14.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 129 units permitted in Somerset County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Somerset County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
11 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $36k; list at $175k implies a 386% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 238 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CJ3PAM64J7V9RG
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29