3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,470 sqft ·
Built 1949
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 70 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,228/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$107
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$258
Net cashflow
$77/mo
Annual
$923/yr
Cap rate
6.91%
Cash-on-cash
2.20%
DSCR
1.10
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $77 ($923/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (18.1% below list).
It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $123k (18.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#126 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Etowah County (suburban): math 21% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #36 of 129 in AL (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Glencoe Elementary School (math 27% / reading 77%, grade C-, #102 of 627 statewide, top 17%, 390 students, 60% FRL); Glencoe Middle School (math 9% / reading 56%, grade F, #105 of 257 statewide, top 42%, 304 students, 62% FRL); Glencoe High School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #118 of 305 statewide, top 45%, 285 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools average 58% FRL vs 41% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; 119 units permitted in Etowah County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Etowah County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 3.5% in Glencoe — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CJ7GSW0M0E3208
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29