None bd · None ba ·
4,300 sqft ·
Built 1961
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 28 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,866/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,355
Tax + insurance
−$554
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,232
Net cashflow
$1,725/mo
Annual
$20,703/yr
Cap rate
10.90%
Cash-on-cash
16.47%
DSCR
1.73
1% rule
1.31%
Cash to close
$125,720
Investor read
This is a 6 × 3-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $449k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($21k/yr) — positive. Per door: $288/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $449k).
It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($442k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $442k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $45k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $42k appreciation (9.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#5 in NE, #545 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+.
Lincoln Public Schools (urban): math 50% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #59 of 111 in NE (top 53%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Mcphee Elementary School (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #427 of 502 statewide, top 87%, 282 students, 0% FRL); Park Middle School (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #99 of 128 statewide, top 79%, 834 students, 68% FRL); Lincoln High School (math 38% / reading 41%, grade F, #184 of 261 statewide, top 76%, 2,196 students, 59% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 35% at this address vs 52% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Lincoln Public Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 47 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,940 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (895 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lancaster County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $230k; list at $449k implies a 95% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (9.3% appreciation + 1.7% rent growth), your $126k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$72k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 3.0% in Lincoln — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CJCWRSC9WWFKYQ
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29