2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
480 sqft ·
Built 1968
· Other
· Active
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$803/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$341
Tax + insurance
−$108
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$169
Net cashflow
$185/mo
Annual
$2,225/yr
Cap rate
9.72%
Cash-on-cash
12.23%
DSCR
1.54
1% rule
1.24%
Cash to close
$18,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $65k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $185 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($803 rent vs $65k).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (6.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#522 in NE) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
Ogallala Public Schools (town): math 45% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #78 of 111 in NE (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 38 units permitted in Keith County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Keith County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (6.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: siding
— Significant wear and tear
Major: roof
— No visible damage, but age is implied
Major: flooring
— No visible flooring, but wear is implied
Major: interior walls/paint
— No visible interior, but wear is implied
Major: systems
— No visible systems, but age is implied
CashFlowRE · CFR-CJH46Z82XMZ017
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29