4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,386 sqft ·
Built 1958
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 72 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,467/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,568
Tax + insurance
−$382
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$518
Net cashflow
$-1/mo
Annual
$-11/yr
Cap rate
6.29%
Cash-on-cash
-0.01%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$83,720
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $299k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1 ($-11/yr) — negative. Per door: $0/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $299k (0.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $247k (17.5% below list).
It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($281k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $247k (17.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#130 in OH, #1,856 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
Cincinnati Public Schools (urban): math 25% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #581 of 656 in OH (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Roberts Academy (math 16% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,320 of 1,584 statewide, top 83%, 765 students, 0% FRL); Hartwell School (math 17% / reading 31%, grade F, #593 of 654 statewide, top 91%, 447 students, 0% FRL); Walnut Hills High School (math 79% / reading 89%, grade A, #17 of 781 statewide, top 2%, 2,582 students, 14% FRL) — zoned schools average 5% FRL vs 70% district-wide (66 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 78 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 801 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (190 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $137k; list at $299k implies a 118% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.9% in Cincinnati — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
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