24 bd · 28.0 ba ·
— sqft ·
Built 1910
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 83 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$12,052/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$7,316
Tax + insurance
−$2,325
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,531
Net cashflow
$-119/mo
Annual
$-1,433/yr
Cap rate
6.19%
Cash-on-cash
-0.37%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$390,600
Investor read
This is a 4 × 6-bed/7.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.40M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-119 ($-1k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-30/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.38M (1.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.21M (13.6% below list).
It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($1.31M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.21M (13.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $10k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $42k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#72 in OR, #3,256 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Portland SD 1J (urban): math 46% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #23 of 183 in OR (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Grout Elementary School (316 students, 70% FRL); Hosford Middle School (566 students, 27% FRL); Cleveland High School (1,547 students, 17% FRL) — zoned schools at 38% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 231 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 2,041 units permitted in Multnomah County in 2024 (905 in 5+ unit buildings).
Multnomah County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 2.2% in Portland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $12,052/mo this rent would consume 138% of the median local household income ($105k/yr) (locally 2455% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-CJS3N53ZNXQ8BG
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29