5 bd · 4.5 ba ·
3,406 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 173 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,535/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,259
Tax + insurance
−$400
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$322
Net cashflow
$-446/mo
Annual
$-5,347/yr
Cap rate
4.06%
Cash-on-cash
-7.96%
DSCR
0.65
1% rule
0.64%
Cash to close
$67,200
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/4.5-bath single-family listed at $240k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-446 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $176k (26.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $154k (36.0% below list).
It's been on market 173 days — a 12% lower offer ($211k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $154k (36.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#330 in NE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Crete Public Schools (town): math 46% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #82 of 111 in NE (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Crete Elementary School (450 students, 64% FRL); Crete Middle School (math 48% / reading 45%, grade D+, #59 of 128 statewide, top 46%, 477 students, 0% FRL); Crete High School (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #208 of 261 statewide, top 86%, 690 students, 51% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 1,940 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (895 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lancaster County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 173 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 36% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CJSKY099NPS8NY
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29