2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
800 sqft ·
Built 1975
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 165 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,163/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$235
Tax + insurance
−$75
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$244
Net cashflow
$609/mo
Annual
$7,305/yr
Cap rate
22.56%
Cash-on-cash
58.10%
DSCR
3.59
1% rule
2.59%
Cash to close
$12,572
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $609 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
It's been on market 165 days — a 12% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $40k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $973 of equity ($310 loan paydown + $663 appreciation (1.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,465 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
South Eastern SD (rural): math 41% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #147 of 539 in PA (top 27%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 1,328 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
6 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $31k; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (1.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 165 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CK5RV5D2ASFZXC
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29