7 bd · 8.0 ba ·
4,057 sqft ·
Built 2019
· Condo
· Active
· 125 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,714/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$943
Tax + insurance
−$767
HOA
−$200
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$570
Net cashflow
$234/mo
Annual
$2,805/yr
Cap rate
7.85%
Cash-on-cash
5.57%
DSCR
1.25
1% rule
1.51%
Cash to close
$50,372
Investor read
This is a 7-bed/8.0-bath condo listed at $180k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $234 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $180k).
It's been on market 125 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $158k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#59 in UT, #3,809 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D, amenities F, health & safety F.
Washington District (urban): math 42% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #37 of 80 in UT (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Coral Canyon School (math 28% / reading 33%, grade F, #432 of 585 statewide, top 74%, 565 students, 50% FRL); Fossil Ridge Intermediate (math 25% / reading 40%, grade F, #100 of 138 statewide, top 72%, 734 students, 46% FRL); Pine View High (math 29% / reading 48%, grade F, #74 of 171 statewide, top 43%, 1,143 students, 33% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.6% of price.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 1024 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 3,140 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (650 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washington County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 3→9/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($92k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 125 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CKHZ05BNBXC0QW
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29