4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,422 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 33 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,950/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$603
Tax + insurance
−$541
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$410
Net cashflow
$397/mo
Annual
$4,763/yr
Cap rate
14.89%
Cash-on-cash
30.71%
DSCR
2.37
1% rule
1.70%
Cash to close
$32,172
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $397 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($111k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $111k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#95 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment D-.
Calcasieu Parish (other): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #29 of 98 in LA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: M. J. Kaufman Elementary School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #415 of 646 statewide, top 67%, 294 students, 79% FRL); S. J. Welsh Middle School (math 28% / reading 44%, grade F, #84 of 218 statewide, top 41%, 1,107 students, 49% FRL); Alfred M. Barbe High School (math 41% / reading 56%, grade D, #41 of 265 statewide, top 16%, 1,991 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools at 56% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+15.1%/yr); 544 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,298 units permitted in Calcasieu Parish in 2024 (526 in 5+ unit buildings).
Calcasieu County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 14.9% vs local median 4.2% in Lake Charles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: exterior siding
— The exterior siding shows some discoloration and wear.
Minor: interior flooring
— The flooring shows some wear, which can be addressed with a fresh coat of paint or refinishing.
Minor: interior walls
— The walls show some discoloration, which can be addressed with a fresh coat of paint.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CM8YBQ1PB4HV0R
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29