2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
795 sqft ·
Built —
· Other
· Under Contract
· 209 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$842/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$362
Tax + insurance
−$66
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$177
Net cashflow
$238/mo
Annual
$2,855/yr
Cap rate
10.43%
Cash-on-cash
14.78%
DSCR
1.66
1% rule
1.22%
Cash to close
$19,320
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $69k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $238 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($842 rent vs $69k).
It's been on market 209 days — a 12% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $61k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#627 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
Schuyler-Industry CUSD 5 (town): math 13% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #522 of 620 in IL (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP.
Schuyler County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $35k; list at $69k implies a 97% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 209 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CM92VH7YK2JMW1
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29