3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,620 sqft ·
Built 1892
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 262 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,271/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$120
Tax + insurance
−$61
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$267
Net cashflow
$824/mo
Annual
$9,883/yr
Cap rate
49.45%
Cash-on-cash
154.13%
DSCR
7.86
1% rule
5.55%
Cash to close
$6,412
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $23k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $824 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $23k).
It's been on market 262 days — a 12% lower offer ($20k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $20k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $158 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $687 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#76 in IA, #1,607 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F.
Creston Community School District (town): math 63% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #195 of 289 in IA (top 68%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1892 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Union County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $11k; list at $23k implies a 108% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 49.5% vs local median 5.0% in Creston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 262 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1892 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CMDFQ5AYWNXJWF
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29